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flubblubb commented
So this month, she was fairly active until 2026-04-07.
Then no shows until 2026-04-13, when she she gave up after just one hour due to tech issues on SC, rather than keep going on CB.
Then she did a proper show 2026-04-14.
Then nothing until 2026-04-19 when she did a proper show again.
Then 2026-04-20 she bailed again after just 30 minutes for no apparent reason.

All in all, the gaps between shows are seemingly increasing, with one normal show and one very short show per week. I've noticed the number of short shows have increased a lot - used to be maybe once per month, now it happens every week. Combined with the 100% masking, the muting and an increase in defensive comments from her - even towards paying customers - it's not a good sign.
 
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flubblubb commented
Feels like she's in a manic phase right now, because she's been doing 5 shows in 5 days - maybe overcompensating for the lack of shows earlier this month. Unfortunately, none of the shows after 2026-04-19 has monetized well, she's been doing barely half her usual hourly amount (which used to be around 100 $/h on CB, and around 66 $/h on SC).

2026-04-21 = 64/56 $/h
2026-04-22 = 60/28 $/h
2026-04-23 = 81/17 $/h

People keep asking for her to show her face, and the mods keep shutting it down with "she's too shy" or "she's too pretty for us".
She then said she only shows her face in private - but she keeps refusing all private shows, so...

She also keeps talking about how she feels sad and tired...

Tonight's show ended with her having tech issues again -> going offline -> BRB screen -> coming back on screen -> watching some other camgirl's liveshow saying "I don't do show" -> going offline a few minutes later.

Just bizarre behaviour at this point. It's fascinating to watch though, more so than the shows themselves. I'm guessing after this manic phase is over, she will probably go on another week-long break, because camming every day like this cannot be sustainable for her considering her normal schedule.
 
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flubblubb commented
So I was half-right - she took 3 full days off (but a not a whole week), then did one show, then two days off, and then one final show for the month. Guessing she wanted to squeeze as much month money as she could out of it right at the end, because she started 2-4 hours later than normal, and even added a fisting room goal on SC - which she then bailed on by abruptly logging off when she was close to reaching it (for the third time). I have not seen her cleanly end a show by actually saying goodbye to the viewers since last year now I think.

Overall, she ended up with less than 4k on CB this month, making this her worst monetized month since I think October last year, despite reaching recording viewing numbers for some shows. Remains to be seen what May looks like, but I would not be surprised if it ends up doing worse.
 
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flubblubb commented
I was bored at work, so I decided to really nerd down into her statistics to see how many of my hunches are correct regarding her supposed "downfall" or if I'm completely talking out of my ass. The results were pretty interesting I think.

When she first went solo after leaving her studio, her monthly income dropped from over 10k to less than 3k in the span of a month. But since I'm guessing her studio probably took 50% of her cut, it was probably only a drop from 5 to 2.7k. Still, substantial. Her monthly income has been consistently lower ever since - however, her hourly income went up after going solo due to dual streaming, so she earns probably more than twice as much now per hour. However, she only works 25-50% as many hours as during her studio era, resulting in her actual monthly income not being much higher at all.

Her monthly income and hourly income both peaked in Jan-Feb this year - after she started masking herself, and also started offering fisting in her tip menu. Going through the chat logs from her old SC profile, fisting was never publicly available until Dec-Jan, which is why we almost never saw it until now.

However, the past two months have been pretty rough for her - she has dropped from 180+ $/h to just 145 $/h, which is the lowest it has been since Sep-Nov last year which was a major slump for her (SC account banned, TG and tubesites deleted, customs undelivered). Right now, I cannot find any external issues that would explain losing 20% of her income in two months, so I'm guessing it's mostly a result of her being sick during March (still performing), being masked, muted, defensive and seeing her viewer numbers tank for several weeks. May will be interesting to see.